Idioma:Español
Grêmio Novorizontino v Avai
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Predicción 63.43%1.58momio equitativo
EV -6.13%
Ventaja -4.14%
Kelly -12.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.66%63.39%63.32%64.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.441.4871.43%69.19%69.44%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Avai (Visitante)
Predicción 13.55%7.38momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.206%
Kelly -0.239%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.90%13.64%13.56%16.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.667.007.2718.18%15.01%14.29%13.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.03%4.34momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.504%
Kelly -0.659%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.04%22.97%23.12%24.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.753.974.004.2526.67%25.16%25.00%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Grêmio Novorizontino (Local): 63.43%; Avai (Visitante): 13.55%; Empate: 23.03%. Para Avai (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.38. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 7.27, con un valor esperado de -1.50%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -18.71%E -3.12%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.96%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -1.50%E -0.206%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.10%EV -6.28%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:53 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 04:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.38%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.03%EV -3.13%E -0.437%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.57%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.48%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.05%EV -3.80%E -0.536%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -10.58%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.86%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -10.58%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.59%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.59%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.28%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -1.77%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -1.77%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 07:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 02:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-01 19:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 05:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.50%EV -16.00%E -2.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -25.48%E -4.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.70%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.01%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.55%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.87%EV -9.94%E -7.00%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.84%EV -10.57%E -7.50%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.84%EV -13.29%E -2.08%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -5.16%E -0.737%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 06:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.93%E -1.84%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-03 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -15.32%E -2.45%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.60%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -15.32%E -2.45%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 10:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.64% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 39.36% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 8.04% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.60% | 72.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |