A Escola das Odds

Grêmio Novorizontino v Athletic Club (MG)

Início: 2026-04-19 23:00 UTC

Final: Grêmio Novorizontino 2–1 Athletic Club (MG)

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)

Previsão 56.71%1.76odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -2.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.12%56.80%56.76%59.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.651.651.7365.79%60.61%60.61%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante)

Previsão 16.77%5.96odd justa
EV +7.00%
Vantagem +1.10%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescimento +0.091%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.60%16.67%16.72%19.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.305.256.3822.22%18.88%19.05%15.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.52%3.77odd justa
EV -3.99%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.86%26.53%26.53%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.443.453.6232.26%29.05%28.99%27.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -7.00%E -4.27%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.03%EV +7.00%E +1.10%K +1.30%G +0.091%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.49%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 22:45
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.54%EV -13.81%E -9.08%K -26.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.60%EV +3.98%E +0.642%K +0.766%G +0.031%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 22:40
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 57.94%EV -9.84%E -6.19%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV +0.629%E +0.105%K +0.126%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 22:45
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.72%EV -0.377%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:55
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 22:30
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 22:45
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -6.08%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:55
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 22:50
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:50
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:50
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.43%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 56.02%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 22:35
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -5.87%E -3.53%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:50
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 22:35
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:55
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 22:55
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -24.53%E -5.45%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -17.78%E -5.74%K -8.47%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-19 22:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.46%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-04-19 22:55