La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Grêmio Novorizontino v Athletic Club (MG)
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Predicción 56.71%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -2.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.12%56.80%56.76%59.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.651.651.7365.79%60.61%60.61%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante)
Predicción 16.77%5.96momio equitativo
EV +7.00%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.30%
Crecimiento +0.091%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.60%16.67%16.72%19.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.305.256.3822.22%18.88%19.05%15.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.52%3.77momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.86%26.53%26.53%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.443.453.6232.26%29.05%28.99%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -7.00%E -4.27%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.38I 15.67%NM 15.03%EV +7.00%E +1.10%K +1.30%G +0.091% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.49%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.54%EV -13.81%E -9.08%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.60%EV +3.98%E +0.642%K +0.766%G +0.031% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.94%EV -9.84%E -6.19%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV +0.629%E +0.105%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.72%EV -0.377%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 22:30 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -6.08%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.43%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.02%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -5.87%E -3.53%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -24.53%E -5.45%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -17.78%E -5.74%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-19 22:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.46% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |