StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grêmio Novorizontino v Athletic Club (MG)

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-19 23:00 UTC

Endstand: Grêmio Novorizontino 2–1 Athletic Club (MG)

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grêmio Novorizontino (Heim)

Prognose 56.71%1.76faire Quote
EV -1.90%
Vorteil -1.10%
Kelly -2.60%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.12%56.80%56.76%59.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.521.651.651.7365.79%60.61%60.61%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Athletic Club (MG) (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.77%5.96faire Quote
EV +7.00%
Vorteil +1.10%
Kelly +1.30%
Wachstum +0.091%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.60%16.67%16.72%19.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.305.256.3822.22%18.88%19.05%15.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.52%3.77faire Quote
EV -3.99%
Vorteil -1.10%
Kelly -1.52%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.86%26.53%26.53%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.443.453.6232.26%29.05%28.99%27.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Grêmio Novorizontino (Heim): 56.71%; Athletic Club (MG) (Auswärts): 16.77%; Unentschieden: 26.52%. Für Athletic Club (MG) (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.96. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.38 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.00%.

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -7.00%E -4.27%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.03%EV +7.00%E +1.10%K +1.30%G +0.091%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.49%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.54%EV -13.81%E -9.08%K -26.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.60%EV +3.98%E +0.642%K +0.766%G +0.031%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 22:40
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.94%EV -9.84%E -6.19%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV +0.629%E +0.105%K +0.126%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 22:45
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.72%EV -0.377%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 22:30
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 22:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -6.08%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 22:50
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:50
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.43%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.02%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 22:35
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -5.87%E -3.53%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:50
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 22:35
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 22:55
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -24.53%E -5.45%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -17.78%E -5.74%K -8.47%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-19 22:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.46%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-04-19 22:55