مدرسة الاحتمالات

Grêmio Novorizontino v Athletic Club (MG)

البداية: 2026-04-19 23:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Grêmio Novorizontino 2–1 Athletic Club (MG)

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.71%1.76السعر العادل
EV -1.90%
الأفضلية -1.10%
Kelly -2.60%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.12%56.80%56.76%59.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.651.651.7365.79%60.61%60.61%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.77%5.96السعر العادل
EV +7.00%
الأفضلية +1.10%
Kelly +1.30%
النمو +0.091%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.60%16.67%16.72%19.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.305.256.3822.22%18.88%19.05%15.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.52%3.77السعر العادل
EV -3.99%
الأفضلية -1.10%
Kelly -1.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.86%26.53%26.53%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.443.453.6232.26%29.05%28.99%27.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -7.00%E -4.27%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.03%EV +7.00%E +1.10%K +1.30%G +0.091%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.49%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 22:45
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.54%EV -13.81%E -9.08%K -26.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.60%EV +3.98%E +0.642%K +0.766%G +0.031%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 22:40
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 57.94%EV -9.84%E -6.19%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV +0.629%E +0.105%K +0.126%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 22:45
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.72%EV -0.377%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:55
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 22:30
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 22:45
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -6.08%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:55
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 22:50
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:50
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:50
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.43%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 56.02%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 22:35
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -5.87%E -3.53%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:50
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 22:35
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:55
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 22:55
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -24.53%E -5.45%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -17.78%E -5.74%K -8.47%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-19 22:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.46%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-04-19 22:55