L’École des cotesFrançais
Grêmio Novorizontino v Athletic Club (MG)
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Prévision 56.71%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.12%56.80%56.76%59.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.651.651.7365.79%60.61%60.61%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.77%5.96cote équitable
EV +7.00%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.091%
avec la cote maximale 6.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.60%16.67%16.72%19.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.305.256.3822.22%18.88%19.05%15.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.52%3.77cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%26.53%26.53%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.453.6232.26%29.05%28.99%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -7.00%E -4.27%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.38I 15.67%NM 15.03%EV +7.00%E +1.10%K +1.30%G +0.091% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.49%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.54%EV -13.81%E -9.08%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.60%EV +3.98%E +0.642%K +0.766%G +0.031% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.94%EV -9.84%E -6.19%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV +0.629%E +0.105%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.72%EV -0.377%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 22:30 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -6.08%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.43%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.02%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -5.87%E -3.53%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -24.53%E -5.45%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -17.78%E -5.74%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-19 22:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.46% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |