Szkoła Kursów

Grêmio Novorizontino v Athletic Club (MG)

Początek: 2026-04-19 23:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Grêmio Novorizontino 2–1 Athletic Club (MG)

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

45 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.71%1.76kurs godziwy
EV -1.90%
Przewaga -1.10%
Kelly -2.60%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.73

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.12%56.80%56.76%59.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.521.651.651.7365.79%60.61%60.61%57.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Athletic Club (MG) (Goście)

Prognoza 16.77%5.96kurs godziwy
EV +7.00%
Przewaga +1.10%
Kelly +1.30%
Wzrost +0.091%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.60%16.67%16.72%19.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.305.256.3822.22%18.88%19.05%15.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.52%3.77kurs godziwy
EV -3.99%
Przewaga -1.10%
Kelly -1.52%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.86%26.53%26.53%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.443.453.6232.26%29.05%28.99%27.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -7.00%E -4.27%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.03%EV +7.00%E +1.10%K +1.30%G +0.091%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.49%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 22:45
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.54%EV -13.81%E -9.08%K -26.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.60%EV +3.98%E +0.642%K +0.766%G +0.031%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 22:40
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 57.94%EV -9.84%E -6.19%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV +0.629%E +0.105%K +0.126%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 22:45
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.72%EV -0.377%E -0.063%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.99%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 22:55
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.05%E -0.178%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:35
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 22:30
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -4.52%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 22:45
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -6.08%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:55
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 22:50
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:50
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 22:50
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.76%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:55
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.43%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 56.02%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 22:35
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -7.57%E -4.64%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.95%E -2.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 22:55
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -3.03%E -1.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 22:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -5.87%E -3.53%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 22:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:35
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:50
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.70%E -5.41%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -16.14%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 22:35
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 22:55
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -17.82%E -3.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 22:55
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.46%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -19.50%E -4.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -8.14%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -24.53%E -5.45%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -17.78%E -5.74%K -8.47%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-19 22:54
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.06%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-04-19 22:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.46%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-04-19 22:55