Oddsskolan

Goiás v Vila Nova

Matchstart: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Goiás 1–0 Vila Nova

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Goiás (Hemma)

Prognos 43.14%2.32rättvist odds
EV -2.93%
Fördel -1.30%
Kelly -2.35%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.76%43.04%43.08%44.92%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.002.132.142.2550.00%47.06%46.73%44.44%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Vila Nova (Borta)

Prognos 26.08%3.83rättvist odds
EV +1.71%
Fördel +0.438%
Kelly +0.589%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.19%26.23%26.09%28.66%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.203.543.553.9031.25%28.27%28.17%25.64%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.78%3.25rättvist odds
EV -2.73%
Fördel -0.865%
Kelly -1.27%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.94%30.73%30.83%31.70%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.752.993.003.1636.36%33.47%33.33%31.65%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.92%EV -7.68%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV +1.71%E +0.438%K +0.589%G +0.010%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.42%EV -2.73%E -0.865%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 18:55
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.899%E -0.237%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:54
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.899%E -0.237%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:54
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.20%E -0.587%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.04%E -0.965%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -2.99%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:54
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:55
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:54
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:54
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -6.39%E -2.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:29
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:55
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 18:54
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 18:54
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:34
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 18:25
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 18:55
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 18:54
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:54
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:54
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -15.35%E -5.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-09 18:54
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -15.24%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 18:44
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 18:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%3.6%2026-05-09 18:54