Szkoła Kursów

Goiás v Vila Nova

Początek: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Goiás 1–0 Vila Nova

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

45 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Goiás (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.14%2.32kurs godziwy
EV -2.93%
Przewaga -1.30%
Kelly -2.35%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.76%43.04%43.08%44.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.132.142.2550.00%47.06%46.73%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Vila Nova (Goście)

Prognoza 26.08%3.83kurs godziwy
EV +1.71%
Przewaga +0.438%
Kelly +0.589%
Wzrost +0.010%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.19%26.23%26.09%28.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.203.543.553.9031.25%28.27%28.17%25.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 30.78%3.25kurs godziwy
EV -2.73%
Przewaga -0.865%
Kelly -1.27%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.16

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.94%30.73%30.83%31.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.993.003.1636.36%33.47%33.33%31.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.92%EV -7.68%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV +1.71%E +0.438%K +0.589%G +0.010%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.42%EV -2.73%E -0.865%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 18:55
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.899%E -0.237%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:54
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.899%E -0.237%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:54
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.20%E -0.587%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.04%E -0.965%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -2.99%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:54
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:55
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:54
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:54
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -6.39%E -2.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:29
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:55
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 18:54
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 18:54
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:34
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 18:25
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 18:55
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 18:54
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:54
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:54
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -15.35%E -5.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-09 18:54
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -15.24%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 18:44
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 18:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%3.6%2026-05-09 18:54