La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Goiás v Vila Nova
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Goiás (Casa)
Previsione 43.14%2.32quota equa
EV -2.93%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.76%43.04%43.08%44.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.142.2550.00%47.06%46.73%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Vila Nova (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.08%3.83quota equa
EV +1.71%
Vantaggio +0.438%
Kelly +0.589%
Crescita +0.010%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.19%26.23%26.09%28.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.543.553.9031.25%28.27%28.17%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.78%3.25quota equa
EV -2.73%
Vantaggio -0.865%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.16
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.94%30.73%30.83%31.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.993.003.1636.36%33.47%33.33%31.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.92%EV -7.68%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV +1.71%E +0.438%K +0.589%G +0.010% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.42%EV -2.73%E -0.865%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.899%E -0.237%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.899%E -0.237%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.20%E -0.587%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.04%E -0.965%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -2.99%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| BetUS | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -6.39%E -2.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:29 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 18:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -15.35%E -5.58%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -15.24%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 18:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 18:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.28% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 18:54 |