A Escola das Odds

Goiás v Vila Nova

Início: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

Final: Goiás 1–0 Vila Nova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Goiás (Local)

Previsão 43.14%2.32odd justa
EV -2.93%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.76%43.04%43.08%44.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.142.2550.00%47.06%46.73%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vila Nova (Visitante)

Previsão 26.08%3.83odd justa
EV +1.71%
Vantagem +0.438%
Kelly +0.589%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.19%26.23%26.09%28.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.543.553.9031.25%28.27%28.17%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.78%3.25odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -0.865%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.94%30.73%30.83%31.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.993.003.1636.36%33.47%33.33%31.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.92%EV -7.68%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV +1.71%E +0.438%K +0.589%G +0.010%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.42%EV -2.73%E -0.865%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 18:55
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.899%E -0.237%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:54
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.899%E -0.237%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:54
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.20%E -0.587%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.04%E -0.965%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -2.99%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:54
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:55
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:54
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:54
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -6.39%E -2.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:29
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:55
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 18:54
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 18:54
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:34
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 18:25
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 18:55
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 18:54
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:54
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:54
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -15.35%E -5.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-09 18:54
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -15.24%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 18:44
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 18:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%3.6%2026-05-09 18:54