Школа коэффициентов

Goiás v Vila Nova

Начало: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

Итог: Goiás 1–0 Vila Nova

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Goiás (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.14%2.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.93%
Преимущество -1.30%
Kelly -2.35%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.76%43.04%43.08%44.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.132.142.2550.00%47.06%46.73%44.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Vila Nova (Гости)

Прогноз 26.08%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.71%
Преимущество +0.438%
Kelly +0.589%
Рост +0.010%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.19%26.23%26.09%28.66%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.543.553.9031.25%28.27%28.17%25.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.78%3.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.73%
Преимущество -0.865%
Kelly -1.27%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.16

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.94%30.73%30.83%31.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.993.003.1636.36%33.47%33.33%31.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.92%EV -7.68%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV +1.71%E +0.438%K +0.589%G +0.010%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.42%EV -2.73%E -0.865%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 18:55
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.899%E -0.237%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:54
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.899%E -0.237%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:54
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.20%E -0.587%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -3.04%E -0.965%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -2.99%E -0.803%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:54
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:55
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.52%E -2.52%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 18:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -3.51%E -0.948%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:54
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:54
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:54
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -6.39%E -2.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:29
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:55
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.78%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 18:54
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 18:54
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.56%E -5.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.66%E -4.06%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 18:54
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.95%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:34
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 18:25
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -8.54%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 18:55
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 18:54
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:54
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:54
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.28%EV -10.70%E -5.17%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -13.72%E -6.86%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -15.35%E -5.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-09 18:54
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -15.24%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 18:44
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -2.93%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 18:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.09%E -2.31%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:45
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-05-09 18:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%3.6%2026-05-09 18:54