Fortaleza v Botafogo

2026-07-29 00:35 UTC — Brazil Série B

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Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

50%

23%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Fortaleza (Local)

Prediction 49.56%2.02fair odd

EV -7.33%

Edge -3.92%

Kelly -8.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

49.40%49.56%49.56%49.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.771.841.871.8756%54%53%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Botafogo (Visit)

Prediction 22.96%4.36fair odd

EV -5.86%

Edge -1.43%

Kelly -1.89%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.74%22.96%22.96%22.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.854.004.104.1026%25%24%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd

EV -6.56%

Edge -1.93%

Kelly -2.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.42%27.48%27.48%27.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.153.313.403.4032%30%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 01:50
Unibet (NL)	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 01:50
Casumo	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 01:50
Unibet (SE)	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 01:50
ATG (SE)	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 01:50
betPARX	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 01:50
Svenska Spel	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-22 01:50
BetRivers	1.83I 54.64%NM 49.56%EV -9.31%E -5.09%K -11.22%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-07-22 01:50
Grosvenor	1.81I 55.25%NM 49.48%EV -10.30%E -5.69%K -12.72%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-07-22 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -10.46%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-07-22 01:50
TABtouch	1.79I 55.87%NM 49.40%EV -11.29%E -6.31%K -14.29%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-07-22 01:50
LiveScore Bet	1.77I 56.50%NM 49.46%EV -12.28%E -6.94%K -15.95%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.74%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%	14.2%	2026-07-22 01:50
Virgin Bet	1.77I 56.50%NM 49.46%EV -12.28%E -6.94%K -15.95%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.74%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%	14.2%	2026-07-22 01:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.