Idioma:Español
Fortaleza v Botafogo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fortaleza (Local)
Predicción 48.26%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.22%48.36%48.21%51.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.921.922.0057.14%52.03%52.08%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Botafogo (Visitante)
Predicción 22.33%4.48momio equitativo
EV +0.944%
Ventaja +0.209%
Kelly +0.268%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.09%22.28%22.29%24.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.054.004.5227.40%24.67%25.00%22.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.40%3.40momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -0.899%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.25%29.37%29.50%30.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.113.103.3033.90%32.19%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fortaleza (Local): 48.26%; Botafogo (Visitante): 22.33%; Empate: 29.40%. Para Botafogo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.48. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.52, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.944%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%EV -5.40%E -2.76%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.27%EV +0.944%E +0.209%K +0.268%G +0.003% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.67%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -15.54%E -8.88%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +0.497%E +0.110%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.74%E -0.395%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -1.74%E -0.395%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.61%EV -3.52%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.26%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -3.97%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.80%EV -8.78%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -3.97%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 00:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 00:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.81%EV -6.37%E -3.28%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.42%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.22%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -18.49%E -5.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-29 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.33%EV -8.78%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -18.49%E -5.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-07-29 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.27% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |