La escuela de los momiosFortaleza v Botafogo
Resultado del partido
Fortaleza (Local)
Predicción 54.52%1.83momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -3.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.58%54.51%54.50%56.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.711.701.7962.50%58.60%58.82%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Botafogo (Visitante)
Predicción 18.63%5.37momio equitativo
EV +3.93%
Ventaja +0.705%
Kelly +0.859%
Crecimiento +0.034%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.90%18.62%18.70%21.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.734.755.5823.81%21.12%21.05%17.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -0.923%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.97%26.87%26.80%27.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.52%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.15%EV -8.41%E -5.00%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 16.90%EV +3.93%E +0.705%K +0.859%G +0.034% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.84%EV -10.04%E -6.09%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV +0.579%E +0.107%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.36%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -1.28%E -0.242%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.36%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -1.28%E -0.242%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -1.28%E -0.242%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 23:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.86%E -4.65%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.21%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 00:39 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -2.21%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 23:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.87%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-24 01:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -7.86%E -4.65%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.87%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.32%E -0.923%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.84%EV -7.86%E -4.65%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -6.87%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.54%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -6.87%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-24 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.48%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.75%EV -7.43%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.77%EV -6.54%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.25%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.63%EV -7.80%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-24 19:40 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.25%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.63%EV -7.80%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-24 19:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.73%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-24 01:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.68%EV -9.66%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 00:40 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 23:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 23:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-24 10:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.94%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-24 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.53%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 00:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -11.53%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-24 01:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -11.53%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 23:38 |
| betano_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -11.53%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 23:38 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.53%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-24 08:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -8.41%E -5.00%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -14.32%E -3.11%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 02:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -14.32%E -3.11%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-24 01:50 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-24 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-24 22:20 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-24 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-24 22:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-24 22:15 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-24 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-24 22:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.11%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-24 19:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.81%EV -4.05%E -2.30%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -18.98%E -4.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.03%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-24 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -19.35%E -4.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-24 19:45 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -19.35%E -4.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-24 19:45 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -19.35%E -4.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-24 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -19.35%E -4.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-24 19:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.78%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -20.84%E -4.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-24 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.71%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -20.84%E -4.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-24 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.58%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -21.77%E -5.18%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-24 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.65%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -21.77%E -5.18%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-24 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.65%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -21.77%E -5.18%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-24 22:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09% | 16.7% | 2026-07-24 19:40 |