Язык:Русский
Fortaleza v Botafogo
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Fortaleza (Хозяева)
Прогноз 48.26%2.07справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.47%
Преимущество -1.74%
Kelly -3.47%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.22%48.36%48.21%51.66%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.751.921.922.0057.14%52.03%52.08%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Botafogo (Гости)
Прогноз 22.33%4.48справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.944%
Преимущество +0.209%
Kelly +0.268%
Рост +0.003%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.52
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.09%22.28%22.29%24.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.654.054.004.5227.40%24.67%25.00%22.12%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 29.40%3.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.97%
Преимущество -0.899%
Kelly -1.29%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.25%29.37%29.50%30.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.953.113.103.3033.90%32.19%32.26%30.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fortaleza (Хозяева): 48.26%; Botafogo (Гости): 22.33%; Ничья: 29.40%. Для исхода «Botafogo (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.48. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.52, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.944%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%EV -5.40%E -2.76%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.27%EV +0.944%E +0.209%K +0.268%G +0.003% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.67%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -15.54%E -8.88%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +0.497%E +0.110%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.74%E -0.395%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -1.74%E -0.395%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.61%EV -3.52%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.26%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -3.97%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.80%EV -8.78%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -3.97%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 00:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 00:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.81%EV -6.37%E -3.28%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.42%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.22%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -18.49%E -5.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-29 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.33%EV -8.78%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -18.49%E -5.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-07-29 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.27% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |