L’École des cotes

Fortaleza v Botafogo

2026-07-29 00:35 UTC — Brazil Série B

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fortaleza (Local)

Prévision 54.52%1.83cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -3.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.58%54.51%54.50%56.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.711.701.7962.50%58.59%58.82%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Botafogo (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.63%5.37cote équitable
EV +3.93%
Avantage +0.705%
Kelly +0.859%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 5.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.90%18.62%18.70%21.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.734.755.5823.81%21.12%21.05%17.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.86%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -0.923%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%26.87%26.80%27.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.54%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.15%EV -8.41%E -5.00%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.90%EV +3.93%E +0.705%K +0.859%G +0.034%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 23:50
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 55.84%EV -10.04%E -6.09%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV +0.579%E +0.107%K +0.132%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 23:45
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.36%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -1.28%E -0.242%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 00:24
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 55.36%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -1.28%E -0.242%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 00:24
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.42%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -1.28%E -0.242%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 23:44
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.86%E -4.65%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -2.21%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 00:39
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -2.21%E -0.422%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 23:40
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.87%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 01:50
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -7.86%E -4.65%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.87%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.32%E -0.923%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 01:50
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.84%EV -7.86%E -4.65%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -6.87%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.54%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -6.87%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 19:40
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.48%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.75%EV -7.43%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.77%EV -6.54%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 23:49
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.25%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.63%EV -7.80%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 19:40
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.25%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.63%EV -7.80%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 19:39
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.73%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 01:49
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.68%EV -9.66%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 00:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 23:45
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 23:45
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 23:45
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 23:44
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 10:55
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.94%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -10.60%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.53%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 00:25
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -11.53%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 01:50
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -11.53%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 23:38
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -11.53%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 23:38
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.53%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 08:14
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -14.32%E -3.11%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 01:08
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -8.95%E -5.36%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -14.32%E -3.11%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 01:50
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:15
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:20
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:15
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:15
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:15
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:15
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:15
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.11%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -16.18%E -3.60%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 19:45
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 51.81%EV -4.05%E -2.30%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%EV -18.98%E -4.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.03%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -19.35%E -4.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 19:45
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -19.35%E -4.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 19:45
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -19.35%E -4.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -19.35%E -4.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 19:45
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 51.78%EV -5.68%E -3.28%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -20.84%E -4.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.71%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -20.84%E -4.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-24 22:20
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 51.58%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -21.77%E -5.18%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-24 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.65%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -21.77%E -5.18%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-24 22:15
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.65%EV -7.32%E -4.30%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -21.77%E -5.18%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-24 22:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 52.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%16.7%2026-07-24 19:40