Langue:Français
Fortaleza v Botafogo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortaleza (Local)
Prévision 48.26%2.07cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -3.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.22%48.36%48.21%51.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.921.922.0057.14%52.03%52.08%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Botafogo (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.33%4.48cote équitable
EV +0.944%
Avantage +0.209%
Kelly +0.268%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 4.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.09%22.28%22.29%24.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.654.054.004.5227.40%24.67%25.00%22.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.40%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -0.899%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.25%29.37%29.50%30.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.113.103.3033.90%32.19%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fortaleza (Local) : 48.26% ; Botafogo (Visiteur) : 22.33% ; Match nul : 29.40%. Pour Botafogo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.48. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.52, soit une espérance positive de +0.944%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%EV -5.40%E -2.76%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.27%EV +0.944%E +0.209%K +0.268%G +0.003% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.67%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -15.54%E -8.88%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +0.497%E +0.110%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.74%E -0.395%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -1.74%E -0.395%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.61%EV -3.52%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.26%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -3.97%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.80%EV -8.78%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -3.97%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 00:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 00:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.81%EV -6.37%E -3.28%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-29 00:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.42%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.22%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -18.49%E -5.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-29 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.33%EV -8.78%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -18.49%E -5.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-07-29 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-07-29 00:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.27% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |