StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fortaleza v Botafogo

Matchstart: 2026-07-29 00:35 UTC

Slutresultat: Fortaleza 1–0 Botafogo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fortaleza (Hemma)

Prognos 48.26%2.07rättvist odds
EV -3.47%
Fördel -1.74%
Kelly -3.47%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.22%48.36%48.21%51.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.751.921.922.0057.14%52.03%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Botafogo (Borta)

Prognos 22.33%4.48rättvist odds
EV +0.944%
Fördel +0.209%
Kelly +0.268%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.09%22.28%22.29%24.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.654.054.004.5227.40%24.67%25.00%22.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.40%3.40rättvist odds
EV -2.97%
Fördel -0.899%
Kelly -1.29%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.25%29.37%29.50%30.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.953.113.103.3033.90%32.19%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fortaleza (Hemma): 48.26%; Botafogo (Borta): 22.33%; Oavgjort: 29.40%. För Botafogo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.48. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.52, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.944%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%EV -5.40%E -2.76%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.27%EV +0.944%E +0.209%K +0.268%G +0.003%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.67%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 00:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -15.54%E -8.88%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +0.497%E +0.110%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-29 00:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 23:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 23:49
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.620%E -0.139%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -1.74%E -0.395%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 00:19
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -1.74%E -0.395%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 00:34
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.61%EV -3.52%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.26%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 00:28
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -3.97%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 00:20
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.80%EV -8.78%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -3.97%E -0.923%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 00:19
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 00:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 00:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 00:29
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-29 00:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-29 00:34
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 00:24
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.32%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 00:24
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 00:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.44%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 00:24
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 00:29
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 00:30
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 00:34
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 00:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 00:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 00:34
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-29 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-29 00:28
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-29 00:28
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.67%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-29 00:24
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 00:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 00:34
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 00:34
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.79%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 00:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -3.47%E -1.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 00:29
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-29 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-29 00:19
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-29 00:19
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-29 00:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-29 00:24
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.81%EV -6.37%E -3.28%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -15.14%E -3.98%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-29 00:05
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-29 00:29
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.42%EV -6.85%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-29 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -7.33%E -3.82%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-29 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.22%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -17.37%E -4.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-29 00:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -18.49%E -5.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-29 00:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.33%EV -8.78%E -4.65%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -18.49%E -5.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-29 00:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%0.2%2026-07-29 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%0.2%2026-07-29 00:24
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-07-29 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.27%0.5%2026-07-29 00:30
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-07-29 00:34