语言:简体中文
Fortaleza v Avai
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fortaleza (主队)
预测 60.28%1.66公平赔率
EV -3.56%
优势 -2.22%
Kelly -5.93%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.60
博彩公司预测分布
57.67%60.22%60.31%62.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.541.531.6069.44%64.81%65.36%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Avai (客队)
预测 14.50%6.90公平赔率
EV +3.55%
优势 +0.498%
Kelly +0.579%
增长率 +0.021%
假设最高赔率为 7.14
博彩公司预测分布
13.43%14.59%14.46%16.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.256.056.007.1419.05%16.52%16.67%14.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.22%3.96公平赔率
EV -3.66%
优势 -0.957%
Kelly -1.30%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.82
博彩公司预测分布
24.37%25.20%25.23%26.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.623.603.8229.41%27.66%27.78%26.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fortaleza (主队)：60.28%；Avai (客队)：14.50%；平局：25.22%。 对于“Avai (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.90。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.14，对应+3.55%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.47%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.43%EV +3.55%E +0.498%K +0.579%G +0.021% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.10%EV -3.66%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.18%EV -12.60%E -8.69%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV -2.83%E -0.422%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -4.28%E -0.648%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 13:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.60%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -14.25%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.10%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.38%EV -6.02%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.62%EV -8.98%E -5.95%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -9.35%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.73%EV -7.17%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -9.35%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -4.16%E -2.62%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 05:52 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -13.20%E -9.17%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -20.23%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.23%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.02%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -21.68%E -4.02%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.78%EV -7.17%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%EV -23.13%E -4.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.94%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -23.13%E -4.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.73%EV -23.86%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.99%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.73%EV -23.86%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.99%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.10% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.40% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |