Langue:Français
Fortaleza v Avai
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortaleza (Local)
Prévision 60.28%1.66cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -5.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.67%60.22%60.31%62.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.541.531.6069.44%64.81%65.36%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Avai (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.50%6.90cote équitable
EV +3.55%
Avantage +0.498%
Kelly +0.579%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 7.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.43%14.59%14.46%16.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.256.056.007.1419.05%16.52%16.67%14.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.22%3.96cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -0.957%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%25.20%25.23%26.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.623.603.8229.41%27.66%27.78%26.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fortaleza (Local) : 60.28% ; Avai (Visiteur) : 14.50% ; Match nul : 25.22%. Pour Avai (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.90. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.14, soit une espérance positive de +3.55%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.47%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.43%EV +3.55%E +0.498%K +0.579%G +0.021% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.10%EV -3.66%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.18%EV -12.60%E -8.69%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV -2.83%E -0.422%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -4.28%E -0.648%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 13:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.60%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -14.25%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.10%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.38%EV -6.02%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.62%EV -8.98%E -5.95%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -9.35%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.73%EV -7.17%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -9.35%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -4.16%E -2.62%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 05:52 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -13.20%E -9.17%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -20.23%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.23%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.02%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -21.68%E -4.02%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.78%EV -7.17%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%EV -23.13%E -4.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.94%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -23.13%E -4.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.73%EV -23.86%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.99%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.73%EV -23.86%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.99%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.10% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.40% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |