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Fortaleza v Avai
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Fortaleza (Хозяева)
Прогноз 60.28%1.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.56%
Преимущество -2.22%
Kelly -5.93%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.67%60.22%60.31%62.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.441.541.531.6069.44%64.81%65.36%62.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Avai (Гости)
Прогноз 14.50%6.90справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.55%
Преимущество +0.498%
Kelly +0.579%
Рост +0.021%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.14
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.43%14.59%14.46%16.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.256.056.007.1419.05%16.52%16.67%14.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.22%3.96справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.66%
Преимущество -0.957%
Kelly -1.30%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.82
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.37%25.20%25.23%26.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.623.603.8229.41%27.66%27.78%26.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fortaleza (Хозяева): 60.28%; Avai (Гости): 14.50%; Ничья: 25.22%. Для исхода «Avai (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.90. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.14, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.55%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.47%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.43%EV +3.55%E +0.498%K +0.579%G +0.021% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.10%EV -3.66%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.18%EV -12.60%E -8.69%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV -2.83%E -0.422%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -4.28%E -0.648%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 13:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.60%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -14.25%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.10%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.38%EV -6.02%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.62%EV -8.98%E -5.95%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -9.35%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.73%EV -7.17%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -9.35%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -4.16%E -2.62%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 05:52 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -13.20%E -9.17%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -20.23%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.23%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.02%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -21.68%E -4.02%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.78%EV -7.17%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%EV -23.13%E -4.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.94%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -23.13%E -4.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.73%EV -23.86%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.99%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.73%EV -23.86%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.99%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.10% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.40% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |