Lingua:Italiano
Fortaleza v Avai
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fortaleza (Casa)
Previsione 60.28%1.66quota equa
EV -3.56%
Vantaggio -2.22%
Kelly -5.93%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.67%60.22%60.31%62.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.541.531.6069.44%64.81%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Avai (Trasferta)
Previsione 14.50%6.90quota equa
EV +3.55%
Vantaggio +0.498%
Kelly +0.579%
Crescita +0.021%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.14
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.43%14.59%14.46%16.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.256.056.007.1419.05%16.52%16.67%14.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 25.22%3.96quota equa
EV -3.66%
Vantaggio -0.957%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.82
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.37%25.20%25.23%26.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.623.603.8229.41%27.66%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fortaleza (Casa): 60.28%; Avai (Trasferta): 14.50%; Pareggio: 25.22%. Per Avai (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.90. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 7.14, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.55%.
Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.47%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.43%EV +3.55%E +0.498%K +0.579%G +0.021% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.10%EV -3.66%E -0.957%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.18%EV -12.60%E -8.69%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV -2.83%E -0.422%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.04%EV -4.28%E -0.648%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 13:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.60%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -14.25%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.73%E -0.881%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.10%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.38%EV -6.02%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.62%EV -8.98%E -5.95%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.94%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -9.59%E -6.39%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -7.18%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -9.35%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.42%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.73%EV -7.17%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -9.35%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -4.16%E -2.62%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 05:52 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.16%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -13.20%E -9.17%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -12.98%E -2.16%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -3.56%E -2.22%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -16.61%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 13:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -5.97%E -3.83%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -20.23%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -5.37%E -3.42%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.23%E -3.68%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 05:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.02%EV -6.57%E -4.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -21.68%E -4.02%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.78%EV -7.17%E -4.66%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%EV -23.13%E -4.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.94%EV -7.78%E -5.08%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -23.13%E -4.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.73%EV -23.86%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.99%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.80%EV -8.38%E -5.51%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.73%EV -23.86%E -4.54%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.99%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.10% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.40% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |