Школа коэффициентов

Cuiabá v Grêmio Novorizontino

Начало: 2026-05-16 23:30 UTC

Итог: Cuiabá 0–0 Grêmio Novorizontino

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Cuiabá (Хозяева)

Прогноз 36.21%2.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.16%
Преимущество -0.425%
Kelly -0.670%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.73

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.49%36.19%36.18%37.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.382.522.502.7342.02%39.65%40.00%36.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (Гости)

Прогноз 30.47%3.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.39%
Преимущество -1.07%
Kelly -1.56%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.17

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.21%30.43%30.47%31.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.033.003.1736.36%32.96%33.33%31.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 33.32%3.00справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.37%
Преимущество -1.16%
Kelly -1.78%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.32%33.38%33.34%34.71%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.772.752.9038.46%36.14%36.36%34.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.30%EV -1.16%E -0.425%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.40%EV -3.39%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.30%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 23:01
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:01
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:01
BetUS2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:00
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 23:20
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -4.78%E -1.82%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -6.75%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.13%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 23:20
Bovada2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.53%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.36%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 23:05
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 22:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 22:50
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 23:20
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 22:50
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 22:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 22:55
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 22:55
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 22:55
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:20
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 22:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 23:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -16.19%E -5.89%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -13.37%E -5.14%K -8.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 23:18
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -10.21%E -4.12%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 23:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 22:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:55
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 23:10
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 23:20
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:56
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:56
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:10
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:10
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%0.5%2026-05-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%1.0%2026-05-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%1.0%2026-05-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%1.0%2026-05-16 23:25
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.70%1.5%2026-05-16 23:25