مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cuiabá v Grêmio Novorizontino

البداية: 2026-05-16 23:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cuiabá 0–0 Grêmio Novorizontino

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cuiabá (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.21%2.76السعر العادل
EV -1.16%
الأفضلية -0.425%
Kelly -0.670%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.49%36.19%36.18%37.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.522.502.7342.02%39.65%40.00%36.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.47%3.28السعر العادل
EV -3.39%
الأفضلية -1.07%
Kelly -1.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.21%30.43%30.47%31.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.033.003.1736.36%32.96%33.33%31.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 33.32%3.00السعر العادل
EV -3.37%
الأفضلية -1.16%
Kelly -1.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.32%33.38%33.34%34.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.772.752.9038.46%36.14%36.36%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.30%EV -1.16%E -0.425%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.40%EV -3.39%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.30%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 23:01
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:01
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:01
BetUS2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:00
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 23:20
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -4.78%E -1.82%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -6.75%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.13%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 23:20
Bovada2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.53%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.36%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 23:05
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 22:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 22:50
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 23:20
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 22:50
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 22:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 22:55
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 22:55
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 22:55
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:20
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 22:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 23:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -16.19%E -5.89%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -13.37%E -5.14%K -8.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 23:18
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -10.21%E -4.12%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 23:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 22:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:55
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 23:10
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 23:20
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:56
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:56
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:10
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:10
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%0.5%2026-05-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%1.0%2026-05-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%1.0%2026-05-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%1.0%2026-05-16 23:25
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.70%1.5%2026-05-16 23:25