Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.73
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.17
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cuiabá (Casa): 36.21%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta): 30.47%; Pareggio: 33.32%. Per Cuiabá (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.76. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.73, con un valore atteso del -1.16%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.30%EV -1.16%E -0.425%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.40%EV -3.39%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.30%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 23:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -4.78%E -1.82%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -6.75%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.13%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.53%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.36%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 23:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -16.19%E -5.89%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -13.37%E -5.14%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 23:18 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -10.21%E -4.12%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:56 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.70% | 1.5% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |