La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cuiabá v Grêmio Novorizontino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cuiabá (Local)
Predicción 36.21%2.76momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.425%
Kelly -0.670%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.49%36.19%36.18%37.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.522.502.7342.02%39.65%40.00%36.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante)
Predicción 30.47%3.28momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.21%30.43%30.47%31.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.033.003.1736.36%32.96%33.33%31.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.32%3.00momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.32%33.38%33.34%34.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.752.9038.46%36.14%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.30%EV -1.16%E -0.425%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.40%EV -3.39%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.30%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 23:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:01 |
| BetUS | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -4.78%E -1.82%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -6.75%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.13%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| Bovada | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.53%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.36%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 23:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -16.19%E -5.89%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -13.37%E -5.14%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 23:18 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -10.21%E -4.12%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:56 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.70% | 1.5% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |