A Escola das Odds

Cuiabá v Grêmio Novorizontino

Início: 2026-05-16 23:30 UTC

Final: Cuiabá 0–0 Grêmio Novorizontino

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cuiabá (Local)

Previsão 36.21%2.76odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.425%
Kelly -0.670%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.49%36.19%36.18%37.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.522.502.7342.02%39.65%40.00%36.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante)

Previsão 30.47%3.28odd justa
EV -3.39%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.21%30.43%30.47%31.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.033.003.1736.36%32.96%33.33%31.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.32%3.00odd justa
EV -3.37%
Vantagem -1.16%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.32%33.38%33.34%34.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.772.752.9038.46%36.14%36.36%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.30%EV -1.16%E -0.425%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.40%EV -3.39%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.30%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 23:01
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:01
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:01
BetUS2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 23:00
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 23:20
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -4.78%E -1.82%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -6.75%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.13%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:10
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 23:20
Bovada2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.53%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.36%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 23:05
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 22:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 22:50
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 23:20
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 22:50
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 22:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 22:55
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 22:55
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 22:55
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:10
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 23:20
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 22:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 23:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -16.19%E -5.89%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -13.37%E -5.14%K -8.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 23:18
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -10.21%E -4.12%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 23:10
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 23:10
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 22:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 22:55
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 23:10
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 23:20
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:56
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:55
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 22:56
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:10
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:10
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%0.5%2026-05-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%1.0%2026-05-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%1.0%2026-05-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%1.0%2026-05-16 23:25
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.70%1.5%2026-05-16 23:25