L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Cuiabá v Grêmio Novorizontino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cuiabá (Local)
Prévision 36.21%2.76cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.425%
Kelly -0.670%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.49%36.19%36.18%37.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.522.502.7342.02%39.65%40.00%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.47%3.28cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.21%30.43%30.47%31.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.033.003.1736.36%32.96%33.33%31.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.32%3.00cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.32%33.38%33.34%34.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.752.9038.46%36.14%36.36%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.30%EV -1.16%E -0.425%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.40%EV -3.39%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.30%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 23:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:01 |
| BetUS | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.49%EV -1.52%E -0.559%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.24%EV -8.70%E -3.18%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -4.78%E -1.82%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -6.75%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.13%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| Bovada | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -10.04%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.53%EV -5.50%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -7.36%E -2.42%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.97%EV -9.04%E -3.31%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -5.87%E -2.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -11.70%E -4.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.68%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -3.37%E -1.16%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 23:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -9.49%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -16.19%E -5.89%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -13.37%E -5.14%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 23:18 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -10.21%E -4.12%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -4.00%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -5.04%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.30%E -4.61%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -12.02%E -4.95%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 23:20 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:55 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -13.11%E -5.46%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.62%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 22:56 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -13.83%E -5.81%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 23:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.70% | 1.5% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |