Language:English
Criciuma v São Bernardo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Criciuma (Local)
Prediction 56.91%1.76fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%56.83%56.89%59.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.641.631.7165.79%61.07%61.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
São Bernardo (Visit)
Prediction 16.19%6.18fair odd
EV +0.839%
Edge +0.135%
Kelly +0.161%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 6.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.40%16.31%16.17%18.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.465.506.2320.83%18.30%18.18%16.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.90%3.72fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.07%26.87%26.95%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.353.6033.33%29.77%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Criciuma (Local): 56.91%; São Bernardo (Visit): 16.19%; Draw: 26.90%. For São Bernardo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.839%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.80%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.40%EV +0.839%E +0.135%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.80%EV -3.68%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.36%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 15.77%EV -4.02%E -0.677%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -6.37%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.71%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -13.50%E -8.88%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -9.51%E -5.98%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.74%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.74%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.63%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -9.36%E -1.67%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.71%EV -10.17%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -9.06%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-27 18:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 18:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.62%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -19.07%E -3.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.29%E -6.43%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.33%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-27 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.84%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.99%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.18%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.14%EV -6.67%E -4.07%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.12%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.37% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81% | 2.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |