Школа коэффициентов

Criciuma v São Bernardo

Начало: 2026-06-27 19:02 UTC

Итог: Criciuma 1–0 São Bernardo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

41 букмекерская контора (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Criciuma (Хозяева)

Прогноз 56.91%1.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.68%
Преимущество -1.57%
Kelly -3.78%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.71

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.33%56.83%56.89%59.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.521.641.631.7165.79%61.07%61.35%58.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

São Bernardo (Гости)

Прогноз 16.19%6.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.839%
Преимущество +0.135%
Kelly +0.161%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.23

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.40%16.31%16.17%18.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.465.506.2320.83%18.30%18.18%16.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.90%3.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.14%
Преимущество -0.873%
Kelly -1.21%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.07%26.87%26.95%28.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.363.353.6033.33%29.77%29.85%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (41 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.80%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.23I 16.05%NM 15.40%EV +0.839%E +0.135%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.80%EV -3.68%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 18:59
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.36%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 15.77%EV -4.02%E -0.677%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -6.37%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 19:00
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 18:55
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 18:59
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.71%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 19:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 18:59
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -13.50%E -8.88%K -25.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 18:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 18:59
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 18:59
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -9.51%E -5.98%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 18:59
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 18:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 18:59
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.74%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 18:59
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.74%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 18:59
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.63%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -9.36%E -1.67%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 18:59
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.71%EV -10.17%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -9.06%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 18:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-27 18:58
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 18:58
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 18:59
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 18:59
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.62%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-27 18:59
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 18:59
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-27 19:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 18:59
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 18:59
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 18:59
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 18:59
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -19.07%E -3.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.29%E -6.43%K -9.64%G +0.000%17.0%2026-06-27 18:59
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.33%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 18:49
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 53.84%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.99%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.18%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-27 18:59
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 54.14%EV -6.67%E -4.07%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.12%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-27 18:59
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-27 18:59
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-27 18:59
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-27 18:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-06-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-06-27 18:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-06-27 19:00
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-06-27 19:00
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.37%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-06-27 18:59