La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Criciuma v São Bernardo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Criciuma (Casa)
Previsione 56.91%1.76quota equa
EV -2.68%
Vantaggio -1.57%
Kelly -3.78%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.33%56.83%56.89%59.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.641.631.7165.79%61.07%61.35%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
São Bernardo (Trasferta)
Previsione 16.19%6.18quota equa
EV +0.839%
Vantaggio +0.135%
Kelly +0.161%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.23
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.40%16.31%16.17%18.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.465.506.2320.83%18.30%18.18%16.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.90%3.72quota equa
EV -3.14%
Vantaggio -0.873%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.07%26.87%26.95%28.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.363.353.6033.33%29.77%29.85%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.80%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.40%EV +0.839%E +0.135%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.80%EV -3.68%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.36%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 15.77%EV -4.02%E -0.677%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -6.37%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 18:55 |
| BetUS | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.71%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -13.50%E -8.88%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -9.51%E -5.98%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.74%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.74%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.63%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -9.36%E -1.67%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.71%EV -10.17%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -9.06%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-27 18:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 18:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.62%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -19.07%E -3.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.29%E -6.43%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.33%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-27 18:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.84%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.99%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.18%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.14%EV -6.67%E -4.07%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.12%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.37% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81% | 2.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |