مدرسة الاحتمالات

Criciuma v São Bernardo

البداية: 2026-06-27 19:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Criciuma 1–0 São Bernardo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

41 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Criciuma (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.91%1.76السعر العادل
EV -2.68%
الأفضلية -1.57%
Kelly -3.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.33%56.83%56.89%59.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.641.631.7165.79%61.07%61.35%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

São Bernardo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.19%6.18السعر العادل
EV +0.839%
الأفضلية +0.135%
Kelly +0.161%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.40%16.31%16.17%18.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.465.506.2320.83%18.30%18.18%16.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.90%3.72السعر العادل
EV -3.14%
الأفضلية -0.873%
Kelly -1.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.07%26.87%26.95%28.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.363.353.6033.33%29.77%29.85%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.80%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.23I 16.05%NM 15.40%EV +0.839%E +0.135%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.80%EV -3.68%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 18:59
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.36%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 15.77%EV -4.02%E -0.677%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -6.37%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 19:00
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 18:55
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 18:59
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.71%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 19:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 18:59
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -13.50%E -8.88%K -25.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-27 18:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 18:59
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 18:59
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -9.51%E -5.98%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 18:59
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 18:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 18:59
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.74%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 18:59
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.74%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 18:59
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.63%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -9.36%E -1.67%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 18:59
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.71%EV -10.17%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -9.06%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 18:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-27 18:58
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 18:58
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 18:59
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 18:59
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.62%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-27 18:59
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 18:59
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-27 19:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 18:59
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 18:59
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 18:59
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 18:59
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -19.07%E -3.81%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.29%E -6.43%K -9.64%G +0.000%17.0%2026-06-27 18:59
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.33%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 18:49
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 53.84%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.99%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.18%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-27 18:59
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 54.14%EV -6.67%E -4.07%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.12%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-27 18:59
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-27 18:59
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-27 18:59
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-27 18:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-06-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-06-27 18:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-06-27 19:00
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-06-27 19:00
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.37%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-06-27 18:59