La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Criciuma v São Bernardo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Criciuma (Local)
Predicción 56.91%1.76momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -3.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%56.83%56.89%59.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.641.631.7165.79%61.07%61.35%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
São Bernardo (Visitante)
Predicción 16.19%6.18momio equitativo
EV +0.839%
Ventaja +0.135%
Kelly +0.161%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.40%16.31%16.17%18.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.465.506.2320.83%18.30%18.18%16.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.90%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -0.873%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.07%26.87%26.95%28.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.353.6033.33%29.77%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.80%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.40%EV +0.839%E +0.135%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.80%EV -3.68%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.36%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 15.77%EV -4.02%E -0.677%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -6.37%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 18:55 |
| BetUS | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.41%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.71%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -4.50%E -0.763%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -13.50%E -8.88%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -3.14%E -0.873%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -4.49%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.18%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.88%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.78%EV -9.51%E -5.98%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.56%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -6.93%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.74%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -7.74%E -1.36%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.63%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -9.36%E -1.67%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.71%EV -10.17%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -9.06%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-27 18:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -8.38%E -5.20%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-27 18:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.62%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.22%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -10.98%E -2.00%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.52%E -2.51%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.37%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -15.83%E -3.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.87%E -2.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -19.07%E -3.81%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.29%E -6.43%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.33%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.56%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-27 18:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.84%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.99%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.18%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.14%EV -6.67%E -4.07%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.12%EV -20.69%E -4.22%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -13.91%E -4.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -22.31%E -4.65%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.25%E -4.84%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-06-27 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.37% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81% | 2.0% | 2026-06-27 18:59 |