Language:English
Criciuma v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Criciuma (Local)
Prediction 64.88%1.54fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.13%64.68%64.92%66.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.431.421.5072.99%69.93%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 12.34%8.10fair odd
EV +6.61%
Edge +0.765%
Kelly +0.865%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 8.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.07%12.47%12.38%14.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.107.257.308.6416.39%13.79%13.70%11.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.78%4.39fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -0.753%
Kelly -0.985%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.03%22.85%22.70%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.954.004.2528.57%25.29%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Criciuma (Local): 64.88%; Londrina (Visit): 12.34%; Draw: 22.78%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 8.64I 11.57%NM 11.07%EV +6.61%E +0.765%K +0.865%G +0.057% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -3.20%E -0.753%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.47%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-06 13:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -4.38%E -0.565%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 13:57 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.80%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -4.99%E -0.648%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -6.23%E -0.819%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.49%EV -9.12%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.93%EV -11.11%E -8.11%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -3.97%E -2.68%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-06 13:58 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-06 13:57 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -20.28%E -5.80%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.71%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.13%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.29%EV -8.51%E -6.04%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.28%EV -10.46%E -7.58%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -3.32%E -2.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -22.88%E -3.66%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-06 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -24.73%E -4.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -16.87%E -4.62%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |