L’École des cotes

Criciuma v Londrina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-06 14:02 UTC

Score final : Criciuma 1–0 Londrina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Criciuma (Local)

Prévision 64.88%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -5.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.13%64.68%64.92%66.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.431.421.5072.99%69.93%70.42%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Londrina (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.34%8.10cote équitable
EV +6.61%
Avantage +0.765%
Kelly +0.865%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 8.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.07%12.47%12.38%14.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.107.257.308.6416.39%13.79%13.70%11.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.78%4.39cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -0.753%
Kelly -0.985%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.03%22.85%22.70%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.954.004.2528.57%25.29%25.00%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.64I 11.57%NM 11.07%EV +6.61%E +0.765%K +0.865%G +0.057%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -3.20%E -0.753%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 13:59
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.47%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 13:58
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 14:00
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-06 13:59
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -4.38%E -0.565%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 13:57
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.80%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -4.99%E -0.648%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-06 13:59
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -6.23%E -0.819%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.49%EV -9.12%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 13:59
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 13:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.93%EV -11.11%E -8.11%K -30.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-06 13:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-06 13:59
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 14:00
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 14:00
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -3.97%E -2.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 13:58
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 14:00
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 13:59
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-06 13:57
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-06 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -20.28%E -5.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-06 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.71%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-06 13:59
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 63.13%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-06 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.29%EV -8.51%E -6.04%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-06 13:59
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 63.28%EV -10.46%E -7.58%K -27.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-06 14:00
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -3.32%E -2.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -22.88%E -3.66%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-06 13:45
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -24.73%E -4.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -16.87%E -4.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-06 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-06-06 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-06-06 14:00
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-06-06 14:00