La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Criciuma v Londrina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Criciuma (Local)
Predicción 64.88%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -5.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.13%64.68%64.92%66.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.431.421.5072.99%69.93%70.42%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Londrina (Visitante)
Predicción 12.34%8.10momio equitativo
EV +6.61%
Ventaja +0.765%
Kelly +0.865%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.07%12.47%12.38%14.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.107.257.308.6416.39%13.79%13.70%11.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.78%4.39momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -0.753%
Kelly -0.985%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.03%22.85%22.70%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.954.004.2528.57%25.29%25.00%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 8.64I 11.57%NM 11.07%EV +6.61%E +0.765%K +0.865%G +0.057% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -3.20%E -0.753%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.47%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-06 13:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Bovada | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -4.38%E -0.565%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 13:57 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.80%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -4.99%E -0.648%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -6.23%E -0.819%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.49%EV -9.12%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.93%EV -11.11%E -8.11%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -3.97%E -2.68%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-06 13:58 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-06 13:57 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -20.28%E -5.80%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.71%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.13%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.29%EV -8.51%E -6.04%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.28%EV -10.46%E -7.58%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -3.32%E -2.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -22.88%E -3.66%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-06 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -24.73%E -4.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -16.87%E -4.62%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |