La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Criciuma v Londrina
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Criciuma (Casa)
Previsione 64.88%1.54quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -1.78%
Kelly -5.35%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.13%64.68%64.92%66.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.371.431.421.5072.99%69.93%70.42%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Londrina (Trasferta)
Previsione 12.34%8.10quota equa
EV +6.61%
Vantaggio +0.765%
Kelly +0.865%
Crescita +0.057%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.64
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.07%12.47%12.38%14.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.107.257.308.6416.39%13.79%13.70%11.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 22.78%4.39quota equa
EV -3.20%
Vantaggio -0.753%
Kelly -0.985%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.03%22.85%22.70%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.954.004.2528.57%25.29%25.00%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 8.64I 11.57%NM 11.07%EV +6.61%E +0.765%K +0.865%G +0.057% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -3.20%E -0.753%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.47%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-06 13:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Bovada | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -4.38%E -0.565%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 13:57 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.80%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -4.99%E -0.648%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -6.23%E -0.819%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.49%EV -9.12%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.93%EV -11.11%E -8.11%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -3.97%E -2.68%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-06 13:58 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-06 13:57 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -20.28%E -5.80%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.71%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.13%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.29%EV -8.51%E -6.04%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.28%EV -10.46%E -7.58%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -3.32%E -2.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -22.88%E -3.66%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-06 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -24.73%E -4.05%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -16.87%E -4.62%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-06 13:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-06-06 14:00 |