Школа коэффициентов

Criciuma v Londrina

Начало: 2026-06-06 14:02 UTC

Итог: Criciuma 1–0 Londrina

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

39 букмекерских контор (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Criciuma (Хозяева)

Прогноз 64.88%1.54справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.67%
Преимущество -1.78%
Kelly -5.35%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.13%64.68%64.92%66.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.371.431.421.5072.99%69.93%70.42%66.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Londrina (Гости)

Прогноз 12.34%8.10справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.61%
Преимущество +0.765%
Kelly +0.865%
Рост +0.057%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.64

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.07%12.47%12.38%14.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
6.107.257.308.6416.39%13.79%13.70%11.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 22.78%4.39справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.20%
Преимущество -0.753%
Kelly -0.985%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.03%22.85%22.70%25.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.954.004.2528.57%25.29%25.00%23.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (39 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.64I 11.57%NM 11.07%EV +6.61%E +0.765%K +0.865%G +0.057%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -3.20%E -0.753%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 13:59
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.47%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 13:58
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 14:00
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-06 13:59
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -4.38%E -0.565%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 13:57
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.80%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -4.99%E -0.648%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-06 13:59
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -6.23%E -0.819%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.49%EV -9.12%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 13:59
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 13:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.93%EV -11.11%E -8.11%K -30.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-06 13:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-06 13:59
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 14:00
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 14:00
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -3.97%E -2.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 13:58
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 14:00
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 13:59
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-06 13:57
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-06 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -20.28%E -5.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-06 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.71%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-06 13:59
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 63.13%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-06 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.29%EV -8.51%E -6.04%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-06 13:59
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 63.28%EV -10.46%E -7.58%K -27.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-06 14:00
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -3.32%E -2.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -22.88%E -3.66%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-06 13:45
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -24.73%E -4.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -16.87%E -4.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-06 13:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-06-06 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-06-06 14:00
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-06-06 14:00