مدرسة الاحتمالات

Criciuma v Londrina

البداية: 2026-06-06 14:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Criciuma 1–0 Londrina

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

39 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Criciuma (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.88%1.54السعر العادل
EV -2.67%
الأفضلية -1.78%
Kelly -5.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.13%64.68%64.92%66.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.371.431.421.5072.99%69.93%70.42%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Londrina (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.34%8.10السعر العادل
EV +6.61%
الأفضلية +0.765%
Kelly +0.865%
النمو +0.057%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.07%12.47%12.38%14.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.107.257.308.6416.39%13.79%13.70%11.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.78%4.39السعر العادل
EV -3.20%
الأفضلية -0.753%
Kelly -0.985%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.03%22.85%22.70%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.954.004.2528.57%25.29%25.00%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (39 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000%8.64I 11.57%NM 11.07%EV +6.61%E +0.765%K +0.865%G +0.057%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%EV -3.20%E -0.753%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 13:59
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.47%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 13:58
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 14:00
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -1.29%E -0.161%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-06 13:59
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 65.01%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -4.38%E -0.565%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 13:57
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.80%EV -7.21%E -5.05%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -4.99%E -0.648%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-06 13:59
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -5.27%E -3.61%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.33%EV -6.23%E -0.819%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.49%EV -9.12%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 13:59
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.34%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 13:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 13:59
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-06 14:00
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.93%EV -11.11%E -8.11%K -30.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.62%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-06 13:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.46%E -0.995%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-06 13:59
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 14:00
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.93%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.48%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 14:00
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -3.97%E -2.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-06 13:58
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 14:00
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 13:59
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -5.92%E -4.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.89%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-06 13:57
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-06 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -13.63%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -20.28%E -5.80%K -8.11%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-06 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.71%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-06 13:59
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 63.13%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-06 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.29%EV -8.51%E -6.04%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -16.71%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.45%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.90%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.17%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 13:59
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.28%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-06 13:59
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 63.28%EV -10.46%E -7.58%K -27.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -19.80%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-06 14:00
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -3.32%E -2.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -22.88%E -3.66%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.59%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-06 13:45
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -6.57%E -4.56%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -24.73%E -4.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -16.87%E -4.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-06 13:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.02%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-06-06 14:00
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-06-06 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-06-06 14:00
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.31%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-06-06 14:00