Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Criciuma v Juventude

2026-09-09 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Criciuma (Local)

Prediction 47.50%2.11fair odd
EV -7.38%
Edge -3.79%
Kelly -7.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.28%47.50%47.50%47.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.911.941.9554.05%52.33%51.55%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juventude (Visit)

Prediction 23.09%4.33fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.65%23.09%23.09%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.994.104.1026.32%25.07%24.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.42%3.40fair odd
EV -7.34%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.37%29.42%29.42%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.083.153.1533.90%32.42%31.75%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Criciuma (Local): 47.50%; Juventude (Visit): 23.09%; Draw: 29.42%. For Juventude (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -5.34%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -7.38%E -3.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 03:49
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 03:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 03:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 03:49
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 03:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 03:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.05%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -5.34%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 03:49
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -8.81%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 03:49
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.65%EV -10.71%E -5.70%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -9.96%E -2.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.28%EV -10.71%E -5.70%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.09%EV -11.12%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-02 03:49
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.41%EV -11.18%E -5.98%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -11.12%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 03:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -12.13%E -6.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.03%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -13.22%E -4.48%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-02 03:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -12.13%E -6.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.03%EV -12.27%E -3.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -13.22%E -4.48%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-02 03:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.