Idioma:Español
Criciuma v Juventude
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Criciuma (Local)
Predicción 39.96%2.50momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.859%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.71%39.87%39.81%42.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.93%43.10%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Juventude (Visitante)
Predicción 26.46%3.78momio equitativo
EV +1.06%
Ventaja +0.279%
Kelly +0.378%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.06%26.57%26.57%28.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.123.443.443.8232.05%29.08%29.07%26.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.59%2.98momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.897%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.10%33.57%33.62%35.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.482.692.702.9040.32%37.14%37.04%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Criciuma (Local): 39.96%; Juventude (Visitante): 26.46%; Empate: 33.59%. Para Juventude (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.78. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.82, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.06%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.29%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.20%EV +1.06%E +0.279%K +0.378%G +0.004% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -6.30%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.65%EV -2.90%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -0.787%E -0.210%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -6.63%E -2.39%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.11%E -0.570%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -3.43%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.18%EV -9.99%E -3.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -3.43%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.18%EV -9.99%E -3.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -14.09%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -5.28%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -10.33%E -3.87%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.44%EV -6.50%E -2.78%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.56%EV -10.33%E -3.87%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 23:56 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:33 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.50%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 23:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.01%E -4.58%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -7.93%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -8.98%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.60%E -0.897%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 23:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 23:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 23:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -16.04%E -6.41%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -16.04%E -6.41%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -16.71%E -6.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -16.71%E -6.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.34%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -17.46%E -5.59%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 23:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -17.46%E -5.59%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 23:53 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75% | 0.6% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |