Langue:Français
Criciuma v Juventude
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Criciuma (Local)
Prévision 39.96%2.50cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.859%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.71%39.87%39.81%42.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.93%43.10%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Juventude (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.46%3.78cote équitable
EV +1.06%
Avantage +0.279%
Kelly +0.378%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 3.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.06%26.57%26.57%28.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.123.443.443.8232.05%29.08%29.07%26.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 33.59%2.98cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.897%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.10%33.57%33.62%35.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.482.692.702.9040.32%37.14%37.04%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Criciuma (Local) : 39.96% ; Juventude (Visiteur) : 26.46% ; Match nul : 33.59%. Pour Juventude (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.78. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.82, soit une espérance positive de +1.06%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.29%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.20%EV +1.06%E +0.279%K +0.378%G +0.004% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -6.30%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.65%EV -2.90%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -0.787%E -0.210%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -6.63%E -2.39%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.11%E -0.570%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -3.43%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.18%EV -9.99%E -3.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -3.43%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.18%EV -9.99%E -3.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -14.09%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -5.28%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -10.33%E -3.87%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.44%EV -6.50%E -2.78%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.56%EV -10.33%E -3.87%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 23:56 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:33 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.50%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 23:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.01%E -4.58%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -7.93%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -8.98%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.60%E -0.897%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 23:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 23:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 23:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -16.04%E -6.41%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -16.04%E -6.41%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 23:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -16.71%E -6.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -16.71%E -6.74%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 23:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.34%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -17.46%E -5.59%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 23:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -17.46%E -5.59%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 23:53 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75% | 0.6% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-08 23:55 |