StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Criciuma v Juventude

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC

Endstand: Criciuma 0–2 Juventude

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Criciuma (Heim)

Prognose 39.96%2.50faire Quote
EV -2.10%
Vorteil -0.859%
Kelly -1.45%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.71%39.87%39.81%42.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.93%43.10%40.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Juventude (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.46%3.78faire Quote
EV +1.06%
Vorteil +0.279%
Kelly +0.378%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.06%26.57%26.57%28.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.123.443.443.8232.05%29.08%29.07%26.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 33.59%2.98faire Quote
EV -2.60%
Vorteil -0.897%
Kelly -1.37%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.10%33.57%33.62%35.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.482.692.702.9040.32%37.14%37.04%34.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Criciuma (Heim): 39.96%; Juventude (Auswärts): 26.46%; Unentschieden: 33.59%. Für Juventude (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.78. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.82 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.06%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.29%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.20%EV +1.06%E +0.279%K +0.378%G +0.004%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -6.30%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 23:50
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.65%EV -2.90%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -0.787%E -0.210%K -0.286%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -6.63%E -2.39%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.11%E -0.570%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 23:19
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -3.43%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.18%EV -9.99%E -3.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -3.43%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.18%EV -9.99%E -3.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 23:20
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:54
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 23:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -14.09%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -5.28%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -10.33%E -3.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 23:59
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 23:59
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.44%EV -6.50%E -2.78%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.56%EV -10.33%E -3.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 23:56
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 23:34
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:34
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:33
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:34
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.50%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 23:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.01%E -4.58%K -7.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 23:50
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -7.93%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -8.98%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 23:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.60%E -0.897%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 23:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 23:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 23:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 23:54
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 23:34
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 23:55
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 23:14
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 23:15
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 23:14
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -16.04%E -6.41%K -10.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -16.04%E -6.41%K -10.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -16.71%E -6.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -16.71%E -6.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 23:35
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.34%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 23:55
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -17.46%E -5.59%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 23:53
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -17.46%E -5.59%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 23:53
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33%0.5%2026-09-08 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33%0.5%2026-09-08 23:55
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%0.6%2026-09-08 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%0.7%2026-09-08 23:55
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53%1.3%2026-09-08 23:55