StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Criciuma v Juventude

Matchstart: 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Criciuma 0–2 Juventude

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Criciuma (Hemma)

Prognos 39.96%2.50rättvist odds
EV -2.10%
Fördel -0.859%
Kelly -1.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.71%39.87%39.81%42.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.93%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Juventude (Borta)

Prognos 26.46%3.78rättvist odds
EV +1.06%
Fördel +0.279%
Kelly +0.378%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.06%26.57%26.57%28.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.123.443.443.8232.05%29.08%29.07%26.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 33.59%2.98rättvist odds
EV -2.60%
Fördel -0.897%
Kelly -1.37%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.10%33.57%33.62%35.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.482.692.702.9040.32%37.14%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Criciuma (Hemma): 39.96%; Juventude (Borta): 26.46%; Oavgjort: 33.59%. För Juventude (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.78. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.82, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.06%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.29%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.20%EV +1.06%E +0.279%K +0.378%G +0.004%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -6.30%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 23:50
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.65%EV -2.90%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -0.787%E -0.210%K -0.286%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -6.63%E -2.39%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.11%E -0.570%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 23:19
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -3.43%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.18%EV -9.99%E -3.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -3.43%E -0.941%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.18%EV -9.99%E -3.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 23:20
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:54
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 23:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -14.09%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -5.28%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.70%EV -10.33%E -3.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 23:59
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 23:59
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.44%EV -6.50%E -2.78%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.56%EV -10.33%E -3.87%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 23:56
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.08%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 23:34
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:34
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:33
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:34
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -2.10%E -0.859%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.50%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -11.67%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 23:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.01%E -4.58%K -7.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 23:50
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -7.93%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -8.98%E -3.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 23:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.60%E -0.897%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 23:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 23:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 23:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.32%E -3.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 23:54
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 23:34
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -4.28%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 23:55
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 23:14
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 23:15
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 23:14
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -16.04%E -6.41%K -10.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.69%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -16.04%E -6.41%K -10.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -16.71%E -6.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -16.71%E -6.74%K -11.29%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 23:35
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -15.34%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.64%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 23:55
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -17.46%E -5.59%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 23:53
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -17.46%E -5.59%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -5.96%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 23:53
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33%0.5%2026-09-08 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33%0.5%2026-09-08 23:55
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%0.6%2026-09-08 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%0.7%2026-09-08 23:55
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.53%1.3%2026-09-08 23:55