Oddsskolan

Ceará v São Bernardo

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 21:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Ceará (Hemma)

Prognos 60.46%1.65rättvist odds
EV -5.08%
Fördel -3.23%
Kelly -8.91%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.51%60.60%60.35%62.28%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.49%65.36%63.69%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

São Bernardo (Borta)

Prognos 15.16%6.60rättvist odds
EV +9.30%
Fördel +1.29%
Kelly +1.50%
Tillväxt +0.139%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.32%15.11%15.31%16.07%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
5.506.056.007.2118.18%16.54%16.67%13.87%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.38%4.10rättvist odds
EV -4.92%
Fördel -1.26%
Kelly -1.70%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.16%24.29%24.35%25.55%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.403.763.803.9029.41%26.57%26.32%25.64%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.94%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.32%EV +9.30%E +1.29%K +1.50%G +0.139%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.98%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:49
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:48
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:48
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -4.49%E -0.713%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.86%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.89%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:54
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.03%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:39
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -12.33%E -8.51%K -27.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.57%EV -6.01%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:09
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 20:49
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:49
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.45%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 20:10
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 20:35
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 20:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:50
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:50
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 18:19
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.66%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.84%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 20:54
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:10
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:09
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:54
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 20:54
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 20:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -17.11%E -5.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 20:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 61.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-03-21 20:54
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.09%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-03-21 20:45