La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ceará v São Bernardo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ceará (Local)
Predicción 60.46%1.65momio equitativo
EV -5.08%
Ventaja -3.23%
Kelly -8.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.51%60.60%60.35%62.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.49%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
São Bernardo (Visitante)
Predicción 15.16%6.60momio equitativo
EV +9.30%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.139%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.32%15.11%15.31%16.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.056.007.2118.18%16.54%16.67%13.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.38%4.10momio equitativo
EV -4.92%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.16%24.29%24.35%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.763.803.9029.41%26.57%26.32%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.94%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.32%EV +9.30%E +1.29%K +1.50%G +0.139% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.98%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 20:48 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Bovada | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -4.49%E -0.713%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.86%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.89%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.03%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -12.33%E -8.51%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.57%EV -6.01%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.45%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 20:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.66%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.84%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -17.11%E -5.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-21 20:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.94% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.09% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 20:45 |