مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ceará v São Bernardo

البداية: 2026-03-21 21:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

40 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ceará (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.46%1.65السعر العادل
EV -5.08%
الأفضلية -3.23%
Kelly -8.91%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.51%60.60%60.35%62.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.49%65.36%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

São Bernardo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.16%6.60السعر العادل
EV +9.30%
الأفضلية +1.29%
Kelly +1.50%
النمو +0.139%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.32%15.11%15.31%16.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.056.007.2118.18%16.54%16.67%13.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.38%4.10السعر العادل
EV -4.92%
الأفضلية -1.26%
Kelly -1.70%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.16%24.29%24.35%25.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.763.803.9029.41%26.57%26.32%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (40 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.94%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.32%EV +9.30%E +1.29%K +1.50%G +0.139%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.98%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:49
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:48
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:48
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -4.49%E -0.713%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.86%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.89%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:54
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.03%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:39
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -12.33%E -8.51%K -27.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.57%EV -6.01%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:09
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 20:49
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:49
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.45%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 20:10
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 20:35
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 20:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:50
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:50
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 18:19
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.66%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.84%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 20:54
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:10
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:09
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:54
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 20:54
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 20:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -17.11%E -5.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 20:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 61.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-03-21 20:54
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.09%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-03-21 20:45