Die Schule der Quoten

Ceará v São Bernardo

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-21 21:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

40 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Ceará (Heim)

Prognose 60.46%1.65faire Quote
EV -5.08%
Vorteil -3.23%
Kelly -8.91%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.57

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.51%60.60%60.35%62.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.49%65.36%63.69%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

São Bernardo (Auswärts)

Prognose 15.16%6.60faire Quote
EV +9.30%
Vorteil +1.29%
Kelly +1.50%
Wachstum +0.139%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.32%15.11%15.31%16.07%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.506.056.007.2118.18%16.54%16.67%13.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.38%4.10faire Quote
EV -4.92%
Vorteil -1.26%
Kelly -1.70%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.16%24.29%24.35%25.55%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.403.763.803.9029.41%26.57%26.32%25.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (40 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.94%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.32%EV +9.30%E +1.29%K +1.50%G +0.139%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.98%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:49
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:48
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:48
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -4.49%E -0.713%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.86%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.89%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:54
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.03%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:39
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -12.33%E -8.51%K -27.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.57%EV -6.01%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:09
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 20:49
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:49
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.45%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 20:10
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 20:35
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 20:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:50
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:50
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 18:19
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.66%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.84%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 20:54
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:10
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:09
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:54
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 20:54
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 20:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -17.11%E -5.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 20:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 61.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-03-21 20:54
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.09%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-03-21 20:45