A Escola das Odds

Ceará v São Bernardo

Início: 2026-03-21 21:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ceará (Local)

Previsão 60.46%1.65odd justa
EV -5.08%
Vantagem -3.23%
Kelly -8.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.51%60.60%60.35%62.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.49%65.36%63.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

São Bernardo (Visitante)

Previsão 15.16%6.60odd justa
EV +9.30%
Vantagem +1.29%
Kelly +1.50%
Crescimento +0.139%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.32%15.11%15.31%16.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.506.056.007.2118.18%16.54%16.67%13.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.38%4.10odd justa
EV -4.92%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.16%24.29%24.35%25.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.763.803.9029.41%26.57%26.32%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.94%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.32%EV +9.30%E +1.29%K +1.50%G +0.139%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.98%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:49
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:48
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:48
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -4.49%E -0.713%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.86%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.89%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:54
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.03%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:39
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -12.33%E -8.51%K -27.41%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.57%EV -6.01%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:10
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:09
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:09
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 20:49
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:49
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.45%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 20:10
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 20:35
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 20:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 20:49
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:50
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 20:50
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 18:19
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.66%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.84%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 20:54
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:10
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:09
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 20:54
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 20:54
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 20:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -17.11%E -5.03%K -7.13%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 20:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-03-21 20:34
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 61.94%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-03-21 20:54
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.09%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-03-21 20:45