L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Ceará v São Bernardo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ceará (Local)
Prévision 60.46%1.65cote équitable
EV -5.08%
Avantage -3.23%
Kelly -8.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.51%60.60%60.35%62.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.49%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
São Bernardo (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.16%6.60cote équitable
EV +9.30%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.139%
avec la cote maximale 7.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.32%15.11%15.31%16.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.056.007.2118.18%16.54%16.67%13.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.38%4.10cote équitable
EV -4.92%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.16%24.29%24.35%25.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.763.803.9029.41%26.57%26.32%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.94%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 7.21I 13.87%NM 13.32%EV +9.30%E +1.29%K +1.50%G +0.139% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.98%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 20:48 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Bovada | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -1.46%E -0.225%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.45%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -4.49%E -0.713%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.86%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.89%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -5.25%E -0.840%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.03%EV -9.31%E -2.50%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -12.33%E -8.51%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.57%EV -6.01%E -0.969%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.21%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -7.52%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -6.14%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.45%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 20:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.04%E -1.51%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.39%EV -10.56%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.66%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.84%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-21 20:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.26%EV -9.91%E -6.65%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -12.07%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -9.79%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-21 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.36%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.29%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -12.83%E -2.23%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.23%E -3.40%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.58%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -12.94%E -8.98%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -16.62%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -17.11%E -5.03%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-21 20:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.31% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.94% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.09% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 20:45 |