Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ceará v Ponte Preta

2026-08-07 23:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

70%

10%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ceará (Local)

Prediction 69.85%1.43fair odd

EV -7.09%

Edge -5.33%

Kelly -21.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.18%69.93%69.85%70.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.301.321.321.3376.92%75.99%75.76%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ponte Preta (Visit)

Prediction 9.63%10.38fair odd

EV -1.27%

Edge -0.124%

Kelly -0.137%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 10.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.03%9.59%9.63%11.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.709.419.5510.2512.99%10.63%10.47%9.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.51%4.87fair odd

EV -3.58%

Edge -0.763%

Kelly -0.969%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.14%20.48%20.51%20.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.334.524.504.7023.09%22.11%22.22%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.15%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.50%G +0.000%	9.75I 10.26%NM 9.57%EV -6.09%E -0.624%K -0.695%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-29 14:30
1xBet	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.97%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.50%G +0.000%	10.20I 9.80%NM 9.12%EV -1.75%E -0.172%K -0.190%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -8.71%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-29 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.09%E -5.33%K -21.50%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -8.49%E -0.894%K -0.999%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-29 14:50
NordicBet	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -7.79%E -5.90%K -24.35%G +0.000%	9.60I 10.42%NM 9.67%EV -7.53%E -0.784%K -0.876%G +0.000%	4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -4.61%E -0.991%K -1.26%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-29 14:28
Betsson	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.35%EV -7.79%E -5.90%K -24.35%G +0.000%	9.60I 10.42%NM 9.67%EV -7.53%E -0.784%K -0.876%G +0.000%	4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -4.61%E -0.991%K -1.26%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-29 14:30
Marathon Bet	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.79%E -5.90%K -24.35%G +0.000%	10.25I 9.76%NM 9.03%EV -1.27%E -0.124%K -0.137%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -8.71%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-29 15:30
FanDuel	1.31I 76.34%NM 69.98%EV -8.49%E -6.48%K -27.39%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.49%E -0.894%K -0.999%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-29 14:29
Paddy Power	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.45%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.63%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -13.31%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.74%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-07-29 14:34
BoyleSports	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.63%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -13.31%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.17%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-07-29 15:29
LeoVegas	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.18%EV -9.19%E -7.07%K -30.63%G +0.000%	7.70I 12.99%NM 11.68%EV -25.83%E -3.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -3.58%E -0.763%K -0.969%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-07-29 14:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.